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Bitcoin dominates Kalshi’s short-window trading as ten series remain inactive

Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute series across crypto, commodities and currencies, and 20 are actively trading. Crypto windows settle on CF Benchmarks 60-second averages, while metals, energy and currency windows settle on Pyth.

Bitcoin represents 72 percent of contracts traded across Kalshi’s 15-minute market series, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The concentration places Bitcoin at the center of trading activity despite a lineup spanning crypto, commodities and currencies.

Kalshi lists 30 series in that format, with 20 actively trading, according to the report published Nov 6, 2026, at 12:15 PM ET. That leaves ten listed series without active trading.

Trading concentration and settlement

The Bitcoin figure measures its share of contracts traded across the series, not its share of listings. The distinction matters: the breadth of the available lineup does not, by itself, indicate how trading is distributed.

Settlement also differs by asset group. Crypto windows use CF Benchmarks 60-second averages, while metals, energy and currency windows settle on Pyth, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is concentrated: Bitcoin’s 72 percent share makes it the dominant contributor to contracts traded across the 15-minute series.
  • Listings exceed active markets: Only 20 of the 30 listed series are actively trading; availability should not be confused with participation.
  • Resolution sources vary: Crypto uses CF Benchmarks 60-second averages, whereas metals, energy and currencies use Pyth. Readers comparing these markets should distinguish the settlement sources.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
    Publisher
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