Bitcoin’s short-window direction bet leads Kalshi trading in leaderboard snapshot
PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 12:19 AM EDT on November 1 ranks the Bitcoin price up in the next 15 minutes contract first overall, with a strike of 77,660.41 dollars. The contract held about 276,000 contracts in open interest.
A Bitcoin contract tied to the 12:15 AM window topped Kalshi’s trading leaderboard at 12:19 AM EDT on November 1, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The contract, which asks whether Bitcoin’s price will rise over the next 15 minutes, traded at 19 cents with 171,000 contracts traded.
Price and participation
The leaderboard snapshot put the contract first overall and listed its strike at 77,660.41 dollars. PredictionMarketPicks reported about 276,000 contracts in open interest.
Those figures describe different aspects of participation: the trading count captures contracts traded, while open interest measures contracts still outstanding. Neither figure alone establishes the outcome of the Bitcoin price bet.
Timing matters
The item was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 12:30 AM ET, after the cited 12:19 AM EDT snapshot. The supplied material does not include a subsequent price or settlement result, so the 19-cent reading should be understood as a snapshot rather than a final outcome.
What it means for prediction markets
- The first-place ranking identifies this short-duration Bitcoin contract as the most traded Kalshi market in the cited snapshot—not necessarily over a longer period.
- The 19-cent price provides a market reading for that specific contract and window, not a broader forecast for Bitcoin.
- With 171,000 contracts traded and about 276,000 in open interest, trading activity and outstanding positions offer separate measures of participation.
Sources & attribution
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