Biggest mover: more than 6 Category 3-or-above hurricanes now at 91c, up 69 points

Hurricane contract leads the movers

The YES contract on whether the Eastern Pacific will record more than 6 hurricanes of Category 3 or above in 2026 stands at 91c, up 69.0 percentage points since the archive began, according to PicksByOdds.

PicksByOdds ranks that hurricane-count contract as its largest mover over the archive period. The update was published on Oct 15, 2026, at 10:54 AM ET.

Price level versus price movement

The contract ranks ahead of the more-than-9 Category 1 hurricane contract, which is priced at 98c, according to PicksByOdds. That comparison distinguishes the size of a price change from the current price: the Category 3-or-above contract has the larger reported move, while the Category 1 contract carries the higher price.

The supplied material does not identify when the archive started, provide an observed hurricane count or explain what drove the change. PicksByOdds describes its movement measure as a research signal rather than trading advice.

What it means for prediction markets

• The measurement window matters: The 69.0-percentage-point increase covers the period since the archive began, not a specified daily or weekly interval.
• The threshold is precise: The leading contract concerns more than 6 hurricanes of Category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026—not 6 or more.
• Price is not an outcome report: The 91c price and mover ranking describe market activity; the supplied material does not establish whether the hurricane threshold has been reached.