Seattle leads Chicago in prediction pricing ahead of Week 8 finale
DeFi Rate's Week 8 board lists Chicago at 39 percent on Kalshi and 38.6 percent on Polymarket US against Seattle at 60.5 percent and 61.4 percent respectively for the Monday night game. The game closes the Week 8 slate on November 2.
Seattle is favored over Chicago on both Kalshi and Polymarket US heading into Monday Night Football, according to DeFi Rate’s Week 8 board. The Bears visit the Seahawks on November 2 in the game that closes the Week 8 slate.
Two platforms show similar probabilities
Kalshi lists Chicago at 39 percent and Seattle at 60.5 percent, according to DeFi Rate. Those prices put Seattle ahead by 21.5 percentage points.
On Polymarket US, Chicago stands at 38.6 percent against Seattle’s 61.4 percent. Seattle’s probability is 0.9 percentage points higher there than on Kalshi, while Chicago’s is 0.4 percentage points lower.
A snapshot before Monday night
The figures accompany a report published Nov 1, 2026, at 7:30 AM ET. They show broadly aligned pricing across the two platforms before the November 2 matchup, with Seattle favored but Chicago retaining a substantial implied chance.
What it means for prediction markets
- The directional signal is consistent: Both platforms price Seattle above 60 percent and Chicago below 40 percent.
- The platform gap is modest: Seattle’s listed probability differs by 0.9 percentage points between Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- The evidence is a snapshot: The supplied figures do not establish a price trend or explain what drove the probabilities.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Democratic Senate odds move above 70 percent on both Polymarket and Kalshi after a 50,000-contract trade, FinancialMarkets reports
- Tesla and SpaceX merger announcement by January 31 market falls to 19 percent on Polymarket, down 10 points overnight, RG reports
- Ravens at Bills market prices Buffalo at 62 percent for the Sunday NFL slate, DeFi Rate reports
- Trader Woaifacai made $306.2K in profit today on Polymarket, going 261-79
- Notre Dame wins priced at 96.0% on Kalshi, on $1K traded in a market opened about 14 hours ago
- Maryland elections chief says state law bars election wagers on Kalshi and Polymarket, Prediction News reports