Baylor wins priced at 49.0% on Kalshi, on $907K traded

Baylor’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at a 49.0% market-implied probability, with $907K traded, in the supplied Oct. 28, 2026 snapshot. That puts the quoted chance just below even, though the supplied material does not identify the opponent, event or contract’s settlement terms.

The board behind the price

According to PredictionBubbles, its sports board aggregates exchange prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and refreshes its data every 15 minutes. The summary’s Oct. 28, 22:41 UTC crawl recorded 564 open markets with $802.2M traded and placed the Baylor contract among sports markets approaching their end dates. No specific Baylor deadline is supplied.

The accompanying PredictionBubbles page gives a different board count: 552 open sports markets, comprising 193 on Kalshi and 359 on Polymarket. Those figures differ from the crawl summary and should not be treated as one synchronized snapshot.

What the figures establish

PredictionBubbles describes its probabilities as prices determined by exchange traders, rather than bookmaker lines. Its volume measure represents total trading where the venue publishes it, not price movement. The supplied Baylor figures therefore establish a quoted probability and turnover, but provide neither a 24-hour change nor evidence of which direction sentiment has moved.

What it means for prediction markets

• A near-even price, not a forecast certainty: The 49.0% reading reflects the market’s quoted assessment of a Baylor win at the snapshot.
• Turnover does not establish momentum: The $907K traded figure does not show whether Baylor’s probability has risen or fallen.
• Timing and terms remain important: The board refreshes every 15 minutes, while exchange trading continues. The missing event details and settlement rules limit interpretation and comparison with other contracts.