Auburn wins priced at 23.0% on Kalshi
Down 6 points on $1.2M traded, first carry, resolving in about two days.
Auburn’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at a 23.0% market-implied probability, down 6 percentage points over 24 hours, with $1.2M traded in the snapshot published Oct 24, 2026 · 12:54 PM ET. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appears among its sports markets approaching resolution, with about two days remaining.
A falling price near resolution
The decline reflects a lower trader-assigned probability of an Auburn win, rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. PredictionBubbles displays exchange prices as implied probabilities and reports daily changes in percentage points. Its traded-volume figure measures total activity where the venue publishes it, not the amount committed specifically to either side.
The supplied material does not identify Auburn’s opponent, the sport, the contract’s exact wording or its settlement conditions. It also provides no explanation for the price decline. Although PredictionBubbles describes injuries, lineups, form and scores as general drivers of sports-market pricing, none is established here as the cause of Auburn’s move.
The broader sports board
According to PredictionBubbles, its sports page tracks 612 open markets: 239 on Kalshi and 373 on Polymarket. Its embedded display features the 300 largest by volume, and data refresh every 15 minutes even though the exchanges trade continuously. The site separately ranks 24-hour probability moves, total traded volume and upcoming resolution deadlines; markets without a reliable deadline are excluded from the ending-soon list.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and activity measure different things: Auburn’s 23.0% reading captures the market-implied chance of the listed outcome; $1.2M is total traded volume, not evidence of consensus.
- The deadline warrants precision: About two days to resolution is an approximate window. The supplied material does not establish the exact settlement time or rules.
- The snapshot is not a continuous feed: PredictionBubbles refreshes every 15 minutes, so its displayed probability can lag exchange trading.
- Cross-venue comparisons require matching terms: PredictionBubbles cautions that related Kalshi and Polymarket questions can differ in wording and resolution rules. No equivalent Auburn contract on Polymarket is identified in the supplied material.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
Date & time:
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