Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 priced at 87.5% on Polymarket
Down 6.0 points on $295K traded.
Polymarket traders priced the contract on Anthropic’s valuation reaching $1.5T by December 31 at 87.5%, down 6.0 probability points, with $295K traded, in the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026, at 12:09 PM ET.
The decline leaves the outcome strongly favored in market pricing, but marks a retreat in confidence. It is a change in the probability assigned to the contract—not a reported decline in Anthropic’s valuation.
What the market data shows
According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers board measures changes over 24 hours using prices drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with updates every 15 minutes. Rankings reflect the absolute probability-point move rather than the relative percentage change.
The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot dated 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC, later than the supplied publication time. Its text does not display the specific Anthropic valuation contract, so the 87.5% price, 6.0-point decline and $295K traded figure come from the accompanying headline and summary rather than a visible entry in that snapshot.
No catalyst established
The material provides no company announcement, financing details or other reporting explaining the repricing. Predictionbubbles.net also lists Anthropic IPO questions among its movers, but the supplied text does not establish a connection between those contracts and the valuation move.
Trading volume offers context, but the $295K figure alone does not establish market depth or explain why prices changed. The supplied material also omits the valuation contract’s settlement criteria, limiting what can be concluded about which evidence would qualify the outcome for resolution.
What it means for prediction markets
- High probability, weaker confidence: The 87.5% price still favors the outcome despite the 6.0-point decline.
- Repricing is not a valuation announcement: The move reflects contract pricing, not confirmation of a change in Anthropic’s underlying value.
- Resolution details remain important: Without the settlement rules, the qualifying valuation measure and required evidence are unclear.
- Timing limits comparison: The publication time and the later source-page snapshot should not be treated as a single synchronized observation.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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