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Anthropic's valuation hit $1.75T by Dec 31 priced at 69.0% on Polymarket, up 1 point, on $723K traded

The $1.75T HIGH threshold contract is among the traded finance markets on the board.

Anthropic valuation contract edges higher

Polymarket’s contract on whether Anthropic’s valuation will hit $1.75T by Dec 31 was priced at a 69.0% implied probability, up 1 percentage point, with $723K traded in the Oct 20, 2026 · 3:54 AM ET snapshot.

The $1.75T HIGH threshold contract is among the finance markets tracked by predictionbubbles.net. The price reflects traders’ assessment of the specified outcome, not a reported valuation for Anthropic.

Reading the board

According to predictionbubbles.net, its finance board reports probability changes over the last 24 hours and refreshes data every 15 minutes. The 1-point increase therefore represents a modest rise in the contract’s implied likelihood over that reporting window.

The outlet lists 196 open finance markets: 22 from Kalshi and 174 from Polymarket. Its coverage includes interest-rate decisions, inflation, recession questions, and index and commodity levels, with the finance listings ranked by total traded volume.

The supplied material provides no Anthropic-specific news explaining the move and does not include the contract’s detailed settlement criteria. It therefore supports a reading of market sentiment, but not an explanation of the repricing or a conclusion that the valuation threshold has been reached.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Probability is not confirmation: The 69.0% price indicates that traders favor the threshold being reached, while still assigning substantial probability to it not happening.
  • Volume and movement measure different things: The $723K figure is total traded volume; the 1-point change captures the past 24 hours’ shift in implied probability.
  • Contract terms matter: The precise valuation evidence required for settlement is absent from the supplied material. According to predictionbubbles.net, related contracts across venues can differ in wording, resolution rules and deadlines.
AIFinancePolymarket

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/finance/

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