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Al Hazem–Al Nassr draw prices diverge sharply across prediction platforms

No new platform headline in the last 30 minutes changes the picture — news search recirculated only items already carried or held out on Nov. 5 and Nov. 6 — so this…

The draw in Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr was priced at 99c on Polymarket and 16c on Kalshi, an 83-cent difference, according to the supplied market summary.

The snapshot, published Nov. 6, 2026, at 6:24 AM ET, listed $186K traded over 24 hours. It did not break that volume down by platform.

Wide pricing gap, limited news context

The summary said no new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes changed the picture. Its news search surfaced only items already carried or held out on Nov. 5 and Nov. 6.

No source links or full reporting accompanied the snapshot. The available material therefore establishes the quoted price gap but does not explain its cause or confirm whether the contracts had matching settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The draw is priced very differently: The 99c and 16c quotes put the same stated outcome 83 cents apart across the two platforms.
  • Comparability remains unverified: Without contract terms, the gap alone does not establish that traders are pricing identical settlement conditions.
  • Volume offers limited context: The $186K total does not show how trading was distributed between platforms or how much liquidity supported either quote.
  • No fresh catalyst was identified: The summary’s news check did not provide a new headline explaining the divergence.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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