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October jobs threshold contract falls sharply in PicksByOdds archive

PicksByOdds lists the October jobs contract among the biggest movers in its 164-day archive. The question asks whether more than 70,000 jobs will be added in October 2026.

Contract registers a notable decline

The contract asking whether more than 70,000 jobs will be added in October 2026 was priced at 44 cents, according to PicksByOdds.

PicksByOdds recorded a decline of 47 points in its archive and placed the October jobs contract among the biggest movers across the archive’s 164-day span.

The update was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET. The supplied summary does not identify the starting date for the recorded price decline or explain what drove it.

The contract’s wording sets a strict threshold: the question is whether job additions exceed 70,000, rather than merely reach that number.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 44-cent price and 47-point decline indicate a substantial downward repricing of the above-70,000 outcome, according to PicksByOdds’ archive.
  • The 164-day figure describes the archive’s coverage, not necessarily the period over which this contract fell. The supplied material provides no further price history or settlement details.
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Sources & attribution

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