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El-Sayed leads Michigan Senate markets as cited polls show varying margins

Mike Rogers sits at 22 cents on both exchanges in the open-seat race, while recent polls cited by Action Network run from a 1-point race to a 7-point El-Sayed lead. In the Michigan governor race on the same page, Jocelyn Benson is priced at 94 cents on Polymarket and 93.9 cents on Kalshi against John James.

Abdul El-Sayed holds a substantial pricing advantage over Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open-seat Senate race, according to Action Network. El-Sayed is priced at 79 cents on Polymarket and 78 cents on Kalshi.

Rogers is priced at 22 cents on both exchanges. Those figures appear in the supplied summary of Action Network’s reporting, published Nov 3, 2026 · 4:15 AM ET.

Senate polling shows a range of margins

Recent polls cited by Action Network range from a 1-point race to a 7-point El-Sayed lead. That span offers a less uniform picture of the contest than the closely aligned prices across the two exchanges.

The summary does not identify the individual polls or their fieldwork dates. It therefore provides limited grounds for assessing how the polling range relates to the market prices.

Benson commands higher prices in governor race

In Michigan’s governor race, covered on the same page, Jocelyn Benson is priced at 94 cents on Polymarket and 93.9 cents on Kalshi against John James, according to Action Network.

Benson’s prices exceed El-Sayed’s on both platforms. The supplied summary does not include a price for James or polling figures for the governor contest.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Senate pricing is closely aligned: El-Sayed’s prices differ by 1 cent across exchanges, while Rogers is at 22 cents on both.
  • Polling leaves room for differing interpretations: The cited range stretches from a 1-point contest to a 7-point El-Sayed lead, but the summary lacks the detail needed for a fuller comparison.
  • The two races carry different pricing profiles: Benson’s higher prices distinguish the governor market from the Senate contest; neither set of prices establishes an election outcome.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Action Networkactionnetwork.com
    Publisher
    https://www.actionnetwork.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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