2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 priced at 76.0% on Polymarket, down 1.5 points, on $219K traded

Fed hike contract slips to 76.0%

The Polymarket contract on whether 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 was priced at 76.0%, down 1.5 points, with $219K traded, according to the supplied market snapshot citing predictionbubbles.net.

The snapshot was published on Oct 29, 2026, at 11:24 AM ET. Its pricing still favored the two-hike outcome, despite the decline. The material did not specify the period over which that move occurred.

The accompanying news summary reported no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. Its search surfaced only previously used, excluded or web-held items, including an NBA preferred-partner deal; the summary ends before identifying the remaining material.

The predictionbubbles.net page text was unavailable. The supplied information therefore offers no basis for attributing the price change to a particular development or assessing the contract’s detailed settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

• The outcome remains favored: The 76.0% price is lower by 1.5 points, but still places the two-hike scenario above an even chance.
• Volume does not explain direction: The reported $219K traded does not establish what drove the decline or how much trading occurred during the move.
• A catalyst is unconfirmed: The lack of a significant new platform headline in the summary’s 30-minute window does not establish whether other information influenced pricing.