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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 11:00 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Netanyahu exit contract drops to 10 percent as deadline approaches

Netanyahu exit contract drops to 10 percent as deadline approaches

Polymarket traders lowered the chance that Benjamin Netanyahu is the next leader out before 2027 to 10 percent, down 7 points in 24 hours, with 3,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has 508,000 dollars in lifetime volume and resolves on January 1, 2027.

Polymarket’s implied probability that Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next leader out before 2027 fell to 10 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Oct 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, showed a decline of 7 percentage points over 24 hours.

Trading activity and resolution

The contract recorded 3,000 dollars in trading during the last day. Lifetime volume stood at 508,000 dollars, according to PredictionBubbles.

The market resolves on January 1, 2027. Its proposition concerns whether Netanyahu is the next leader out before 2027, rather than simply whether he leaves before that year.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 7-point decline indicates traders assigned a lower probability to the specified outcome over the reported 24-hour period.
  • Daily volume of 3,000 dollars should be distinguished from the 508,000 dollars traded over the market’s lifetime.
  • The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the move or provide detailed resolution criteria, limiting conclusions about why the probability fell.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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