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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 10:45 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Tom Kim’s implied odds of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open fall to 1.1%

Tom Kim’s implied odds of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open fall to 1.1%

Kalshi traders lowered Tom Kim's chance of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open to 1.1 percent, down 2.4 points in 24 hours, with 191,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has 785,000 dollars in lifetime volume and 662,000 dollars in open interest, and resolves on November 15, 2026.

Tom Kim’s implied chance declines

Tom Kim’s implied probability of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open fell to 1.1 percent on Kalshi, according to PredictionBubbles. The reading, reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 10:45 AM ET, was down 2.4 percentage points over 24 hours.

The move reflects a lower market assessment of Kim’s prospects. The supplied report does not identify a reason for the decline.

Trading activity and resolution

Trading volume totaled 191,000 dollars over the last day, according to PredictionBubbles. That activity brought the market’s reported lifetime volume to 785,000 dollars.

Open interest stood at 662,000 dollars. The market is scheduled to resolve on November 15, 2026, leaving the current probability as a pricing snapshot rather than a settled outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 2.4-percentage-point decline puts Kim’s implied winning probability at 1.1 percent; it is not a 2.4 percent relative decrease.
  • The 191,000 dollars traded in 24 hours measures recent activity, while the 785,000 dollars in lifetime volume and 662,000 dollars in open interest provide separate measures of market participation.
  • With no explanation supplied for the repricing, the figures alone do not establish what drove traders’ reassessment.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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