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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 10:30 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Chance of Ethereum falling to 2,100 dollars in October plummets on Polymarket

Chance of Ethereum falling to 2,100 dollars in October plummets on Polymarket

Polymarket traders cut the chance that Ethereum dips to 2,100 dollars in October to 0.9 percent, down 12.2 points in 24 hours, with 107,000 dollars traded in the last day. The market has 598,000 dollars in lifetime volume and resolves on November 1, 2026.

Ethereum threshold odds fall sharply

Polymarket’s implied probability that Ethereum dips to 2,100 dollars in October fell to 0.9 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The move represents a decline of 12.2 percentage points over 24 hours.

The update, published on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, places the contract’s probability near zero as the month draws to a close.

Trading volume and resolution

Trading over the last day totaled 107,000 dollars, according to PredictionBubbles. Lifetime volume reached 598,000 dollars.

The market resolves on November 1, 2026. The supplied report does not include Ethereum’s current price or the contract’s detailed settlement criteria, limiting what can be inferred beyond the reported probability and trading activity.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 12.2-point decline shows a sharp shift away from the October threshold outcome, leaving an implied probability of 0.9 percent.
  • The 107,000 dollars traded in the last day provides context for the repricing, but volume alone does not establish why odds changed.
  • With resolution scheduled for November 1, 2026, the distinction between the reported market probability and the eventual settlement remains important.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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