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Hourly Briefing ·

Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Odds for Marco Penge to win the Mexico Open slip to 4.8 percent

Odds for Marco Penge to win the Mexico Open slip to 4.8 percent

Kalshi traders lowered Marco Penge's chance of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open to 4.8 percent, down 3.2 points in 24 hours. The market has 755,000 dollars in lifetime volume, with 277,000 dollars traded in the last day and 611,000 dollars in open interest, and resolves on November 15, 2026.

Penge’s implied chance declines

Marco Penge’s chance of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open stood at 4.8 percent on Kalshi, a decline of 3.2 percentage points over 24 hours, according to PredictionBubbles.

The figures were reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. They reflect traders’ pricing of Penge’s prospects, not a tournament result.

Trading activity and resolution

According to PredictionBubbles, the market recorded 755,000 dollars in lifetime trading volume, including 277,000 dollars traded in the last day. Open interest stood at 611,000 dollars.

The market resolves on November 15, 2026. The supplied report does not identify a reason for the decline in Penge’s implied winning probability.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 3.2-percentage-point drop marks a downward repricing of Penge’s winning prospects, leaving his implied probability at 4.8 percent.
  • Last-day volume of 277,000 dollars captures recent trading activity; the 611,000 dollars in open interest is a separate measure from cumulative volume.
  • November 15, 2026 is the stated resolution date. The reported price remains a market assessment rather than confirmation of the outcome.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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