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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 7:45 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Kalshi odds for Gadi Eizenkot becoming Israeli prime minister drop to 18 percent

Kalshi odds for Gadi Eizenkot becoming Israeli prime minister drop to 18 percent

PredictionBubbles, reading Kalshi prices on October 31, prices Gadi Eizenkot becoming Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election at 18.0 percent, down 9.0 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 1.3 million dollars over its life, with 38,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on October 27, 2027.

Eizenkot’s implied probability declines

Gadi Eizenkot’s implied probability of becoming Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election stood at 18.0 percent on Kalshi on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles.

That price was down 9.0 percentage points over 24 hours. PredictionBubbles reported the reading on Oct 31, 2026, at 7:45 AM ET.

Trading volume and resolution

The market has recorded 1.3 million dollars in trading over its lifetime, according to PredictionBubbles. Of that total, 38,000 dollars traded during the last day.

The contract resolves on October 27, 2027. Its stated outcome concerns Eizenkot becoming prime minister following the election, rather than simply an election result. The supplied reporting does not identify a cause for the price decline.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 18.0 percent reading represents a market-implied probability, not a confirmed political outcome.
  • The 9.0-percentage-point decline indicates a substantial shift in pricing over the reported 24-hour window, but the available information does not explain what drove it.
  • Lifetime volume of 1.3 million dollars and last-day volume of 38,000 dollars provide trading context; neither figure alone establishes market liquidity or forecast accuracy.
  • The October 27, 2027 resolution date is distinct from the 2026 election referenced in the contract.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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