Edouard Philippe's odds for 2027 French presidency slide to 12% on Polymarket
PredictionBubbles, reading Polymarket prices on October 31, prices Edouard Philippe at 12.0 percent to win the 2027 French presidential election, down 4.5 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 2.8 million dollars over its life, with 85,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on April 19, 2027.
Philippe’s implied chances decline
Edouard Philippe’s implied probability of winning the 2027 French presidential election stood at 12.0 percent on Polymarket on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That represents a decline of 4.5 percentage points over 24 hours.
The report, published Oct 31, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, provides a snapshot of market pricing rather than an election result or a polling estimate. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the move.
Trading activity and resolution
According to PredictionBubbles, the market has recorded 2.8 million dollars in trading over its lifetime, including 85,000 dollars during the last day. Those figures describe market turnover, not the amount specifically traded on Philippe.
The market resolves on April 19, 2027. The supplied material does not include detailed settlement rules or prices for other candidates, limiting comparisons beyond Philippe’s reported daily decline.
What it means for prediction markets
- A lower implied probability: The 4.5-percentage-point fall leaves Philippe priced at 12.0 percent, indicating a downward reassessment over the reported 24-hour window.
- Volume has limits as context: Lifetime turnover of 2.8 million dollars and daily trading of 85,000 dollars do not establish what caused Philippe’s price change.
- Resolution terms remain important: April 19, 2027 is the reported resolution date, but the summary alone does not establish the market’s precise settlement criteria.
Sources & attribution
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- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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