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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 31, 2026 · 5:45 AM ET

1 story in this edition: Elon Musk post-count betting on Polymarket reaches 1.1 million dollars in volume

Elon Musk post-count betting on Polymarket reaches 1.1 million dollars in volume

Polymarket's market on how many times Elon Musk posts on X from October 27 to November 3 has traded 1.1 million dollars since launching on October 24, with the 380 to 399 post bracket leading at 17 percent, followed by 400 to 419 at 16 percent.

Two neighboring brackets lead

The 380 to 399 post bracket leads Polymarket’s market on Elon Musk’s X activity from October 27 to November 3, standing at 17 percent, according to Polymarket.

The next-highest bracket, 400 to 419 posts, is at 16 percent. That leaves a one-percentage-point gap between the two leading outcomes.

Trading reaches 1.1 million dollars

The market has recorded 1.1 million dollars in trading since its October 24 launch, according to Polymarket. The figures were reported as of Oct 31, 2026, at 5:45 AM ET.

The contract concerns Musk’s total posts over the October 27 to November 3 window. The supplied snapshot does not include his running post count, prices for the remaining brackets or the market’s counting rules.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The leading bracket’s 17 percent reading indicates that it is the largest individual outcome, not a majority expectation.
  • Only one percentage point separates the top two brackets, showing little differentiation between those neighboring ranges.
  • The 1.1 million dollars traded measures market activity, but without a current post tally or counting rules, the snapshot alone cannot establish how Musk’s posting pace compares with either leading bracket.

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Polymarketpolymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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