Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Republican party win the governorship in Nevada — Joe Lombardo priced at 28.0% on Kalshi, up 5.0 points, on $1.3M traded · Harvard vs Dartmouth is among the most traded sports markets in the last 24 hours at $1.2M on Kalshi, with Dartmouth at 99%
PredictionBubbles' movers board, on its Oct. 31, 02:24 UTC crawl with data read at Oct. 31, 01:37 UTC at 1,985 markets ranked with 500 moving at least 1 point in 24…
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used, held out or web-held today (the NBA preferred-exchange /…
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Joe Lombardo was priced at 28.0% on Kalshi in the market for a Republican party win of the Nevada governorship, up 5.0 probability points over 24 hours, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles snapshot. Reported trading volume was $1.3M.
The increase reflects a higher market-implied probability for the Republican outcome, though the price remained below 50%. The supplied material does not identify a news event, poll or other catalyst behind the change.
The summary records an Oct. 31, 02:24 UTC crawl using data read at Oct. 31, 01:37 UTC, with 1,985 markets ranked and 500 moving at least 1 point over 24 hours. The supplied PredictionBubbles page instead carries a venue-data timestamp of 31 Oct 2026, 02:07 UTC and reports 1,987 ranked markets, with 519 meeting that movement threshold. Those figures describe separate snapshots rather than a single synchronized reading.
According to PredictionBubbles, its board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes. It ranks eligible open markets by the absolute size of their 24-hour probability-point changes, excluding contracts without a valid day-old comparison. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine rank.
The supplied page excerpt does not include the Nevada contract’s individual listing. The 28.0% price, 5.0-point rise and $1.3M volume therefore come from the supplied headline, rather than a contract row independently visible in the excerpt.
Harvard vs Dartmouth ranked among Kalshi’s most-traded sports markets over the last 24 hours, with $1.2M in volume and Dartmouth priced at 99%, according to the supplied market snapshot dated Oct 30, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET.
The figures show substantial trading activity alongside a price heavily tilted toward Dartmouth. They do not establish a final result: the supplied material does not include a score, settlement status or the contract’s resolution terms.
According to defirate.com, its sports-market tracker covers live scores and prices across NBA, NFL, MLB, UFC and NHL markets, alongside title favorites and heavily traded events. The supplied excerpt separately identifies Lakers at Warriors as its busiest game, with Lakers at 89%.
That excerpt does not list Harvard vs Dartmouth or independently confirm its $1.2M volume and 99% price. The two snapshots therefore should not be treated as a single ranking with identical coverage or timing.