Hourly Briefing ·
2 stories in this edition: Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026 priced at 1.4% on Polymarket, down 2.9 points, on $301K traded · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28 priced at 89.5% on Polymarket, up 3.0 points, on $885K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Anyone's Legend Worlds contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has…
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the October 28 ceasefire-continuation contract among its political moves, in a political/election category different from the…
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: original Infiniti Intelligence reports summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them.
Anyone's Legend’s Polymarket contract to win Worlds 2026 was priced at 1.4%, down 2.9 probability points, with $301K traded, according to the supplied market snapshot published Oct 25, 2026, at 8:09 AM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. The listing was in a separate sports category rather than the board’s lead position.
PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours using probability points, not relative percentage changes. The 2.9-point decline therefore describes a shift in the contract’s market-implied probability, rather than a 2.9% relative fall.
The supplied board recorded venue data on 25 Oct 2026, at 11:40 UTC, and refreshes every 15 minutes. It draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, ranking 2,015 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify.
The $301K traded figure provides activity context, but the supplied material does not establish its measurement period for this contract. PredictionBubbles says trading volume and liquidity do not affect the movers ranking, which depends solely on the size of the probability-point change.
No explanation for Anyone's Legend’s decline appears in the supplied material. The listing documents a lower market price; it does not identify a competitive development or other catalyst behind the repricing.
Polymarket’s contract on whether the US–Iran ceasefire continues through October 28 was priced at 89.5%, up 3.0 probability points, with $885K traded, in the Oct 25, 2026 · 8:09 AM ET update. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the political moves on its movers board.
The increase represents a higher market-implied probability of ceasefire continuation, not confirmation of the outcome. The supplied material identifies no diplomatic development or other news event explaining the change.
According to PredictionBubbles, its board measures changes over 24 hours and updates every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. The supplied snapshot records venue data retrieved on 25 Oct 2026, 11:40 UTC.
PredictionBubbles orders markets by the absolute size of their probability-point changes, rather than relative percentage gains or trading volume. The 3.0-point rise therefore measures a shift in the contract’s implied probability; it is not a 3.0% relative increase.
The $885K traded provides a separate activity measure, but the supplied material does not establish the contract’s order-book depth or explain who drove the move. PredictionBubbles treats volume and liquidity as context, without using either to determine the movement ranking.