Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 16, 2026 · 1:09 AM ET

Both venues heavily favor Ossoff

Jon Ossoff holds a substantial lead over Mike Collins in prediction-market pricing for Georgia’s Senate race, according to Action Network. The Oct 16, 2026 report, published at 1:09 AM ET, puts Ossoff at 96c on Polymarket and 95.2c on Kalshi.

Collins is priced at about 5c. Both platforms therefore place Ossoff above 95c, showing little disagreement between venues over which candidate is favored.

Resolution follows the election call

The market is expected to resolve after the Nov. 3 general election is called, according to Action Network. That makes the election call, rather than simply the arrival of election day, the stated resolution milestone.

The supplied material does not include substantive polling data or detailed settlement rules. The prices establish a strong market preference for Ossoff, but the available reporting does not explain the evidence behind that assessment.

What it means for prediction markets

• Broad agreement: Polymarket’s 96c and Kalshi’s 95.2c prices convey a similarly strong preference for Ossoff.
• An upset remains priced in: Collins’s roughly 5c valuation is low, but not zero.
• Timing matters: The stated resolution point follows a call of the Nov. 3 election; the supplied material gives no exact settlement time.

MCO broadens compliance coverage

MCO (MyComplianceOffice) is extending its employee trading oversight to prediction markets, according to a Business Wire announcement. The rollout brings prediction-market activity into the scope of the company’s compliance offering.

The announcement also identifies an expansion of communications compliance coverage. Those two changes frame the release around employee activity and communications oversight, rather than a new prediction-market trading venue.

The available material does not specify which prediction-market platforms are covered or how the employee trading oversight operates. It also provides no implementation details for the broader communications coverage.

For prediction-market readers, the development is a compliance-product update. The announcement alone does not establish customer adoption, the extent of monitoring or any change to the rules governing prediction markets.

What it means for prediction markets

• Employee oversight is the focus: MCO’s expansion explicitly includes prediction markets, making compliance coverage—not new trading functionality—the central development.
• Scope remains unclear: Without platform names or operational details, the available material does not establish how broadly the rollout will apply.