Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 14, 2026 · 9:09 PM ET

Kennesaw State–Missouri State ranks third

Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State sits at No. 3 by 24-hour trading volume, with $966K traded and Kennesaw State priced at 57c on both venues, according to the supplied headline and summary of DeFi Rate’s odds board. The snapshot was published Oct 14, 2026, at 9:09 PM ET.

The summary also places the Kennesaw State -2.5 spread at 52c and the Over 51.5 total at 54c. Those prices distinguish the matchup’s outright market from its spread and total markets; the supplied material does not break out trading volume for each contract.

The identical 57c outright price indicates agreement between the two venues at the reported snapshot. It does not establish whether prices moved together during the preceding 24 hours, and neither venue is named in the supplied material.

There is a source-verification limitation: the accompanying defirate.com excerpt identifies Game 3 as Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D and says it traded on 2 venues in the last 24 hours. That excerpt does not corroborate the Kennesaw State–Missouri State figures, which are available only in the supplied headline and summary.

What it means for prediction markets

• Activity ranking: The reported $966K puts the matchup third by 24-hour volume, but the material provides no venue-level or contract-level breakdown.
• Separate outcomes: Kennesaw State at 57c, Kennesaw State -2.5 at 52c and Over 51.5 at 54c price different propositions and should not be treated as interchangeable signals.
• Verification matters: The mismatch between the headline and the source excerpt leaves the reported matchup, ranking and prices unconfirmed by the accompanying board text.

Prediction-market trading volume totaled $25.6 billion in the Oct. 5–11 week, rising 4.6% to a record for The PM Pulse’s tracking series, according to sportsbookreview.com. The weekly snapshot showed strong football activity, but combo contracts supplied much of the growth.

Football and combos drive activity

The PM Pulse’s Oct. 13 report, published in partnership with Aldrin Research, put Kalshi’s standalone football volume at $1.5 billion, up 12% from the previous week. Its standalone sports volume reached $3.8 billion, a 5% increase. Polymarket US reported $2.8 billion in weekly volume, compared with $734 million for DraftKings Predictions and $672 million for Novig.

Kalshi’s combos—contracts combining multiple outcomes in a structure similar to sportsbook parlays—generated $12.4 billion, or 65.3% of its weekly volume. According to The PM Pulse figures cited by sportsbookreview.com, combos also contributed 71.2% of the industry’s week-over-week volume increase. With combos excluded, Kalshi’s weekly market share declined to 63.8% from 65.1%.

The Oct. 10–11 weekend contributed approximately $10.52 billion across nine exchanges, including $5.68 billion on Sunday, according to DeFi Rate’s tracker. Kalshi accounted for approximately $7.88 billion and Polymarket US for $1.22 billion. Separately, Aldrin’s figures showed consecutive daily records for Kalshi: $3.91 billion on Saturday and $3.96 billion on Sunday.

The measurement behind the record

The totals require a distinction between contract value and customer spending. Reported notional volume commonly uses a contract’s $1 settlement value rather than its purchase price. Buying 100 contracts for 10 cents each therefore costs $10 before fees while registering $100 in notional volume—a difference particularly relevant to low-priced combos.

Tracking methods also produce different totals. A TickerTracker analysis reported by The Straight estimated weekend volume at $10.4 billion, according to sportsbookreview.com, rather than DeFi Rate’s approximately $10.52 billion. Neither figure measures customer deposits, actual spending or operator revenue.

Looking ahead, Macquarie forecasts $187 billion in industry taker volume for 2026, versus approximately $22 billion in 2025—a measure distinct from the weekend’s headline notional volume. Analyst Chad Beynon expects sports to drive growth through year-end, with November’s midterm elections potentially adding political trading. Macquarie also named DraftKings and FanDuel as potential beneficiaries of expansion into additional jurisdictions, according to sportsbookreview.com.

What it means for prediction markets

• The record is specific to the series: The $25.6 billion weekly total is the highest recorded by The PM Pulse, not a measure of customer spending or industry revenue.
• Contract mix matters: Combos supplied 71.2% of weekly industry volume growth, making their contribution central to interpreting the headline increase.
• Market-share comparisons need consistent definitions: Kalshi’s share excluding combos fell even as its standalone football and sports volumes increased.
• Forecasts are not directly comparable: Macquarie’s taker-volume projection and the reported notional totals use different measures.