Intelligence

Hourly Briefing ·

Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 13, 2026 · 7:24 PM ET

2 stories in this edition: Finalized weekend tally tops $10B: TickerTracker counts $10.4B, up 11% on the prior weekend · Kalshi's inflation whale: a garage trader from Los Angeles keeps beating Wall Street on CPI markets

Finalized weekend tally tops $10B: TickerTracker counts $10.4B, up 11% on the prior weekend

Gambling Insider's wrap puts Kalshi at $7.87B over the two days, with daily records of $3.91B on Saturday and $3.96B on Sunday, Polymarket US at $1.18B (up 13.2% on the…

Weekend volume reaches $10.4B

TickerTracker’s finalized weekend count reached $10.4B, an 11% increase from the prior weekend, according to Gambling Insider’s wrap published Oct 13, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET.

Kalshi accounted for $7.87B across the two days, making it the largest contributor among the platforms identified in the available summary.

Gambling Insider reported that Kalshi set daily records on both days: $3.91B on Saturday, followed by $3.96B on Sunday.

Polymarket US recorded $1.18B. The available summary also cited a 13.2% increase, but it cuts off before identifying the comparison period. The full source text was unavailable.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The finalized $10.4B tally puts weekend activity above $10B, with an 11% gain against the prior weekend.
  • Kalshi’s consecutive daily records show that its weekend total reflected elevated activity on both Saturday and Sunday.
  • The available figures describe trading volume, not changes in contract prices or implied probabilities. They do not establish which outcomes traders increasingly favored.
  1. Gamblinginsider (gamblinginsider.com)https://www.gamblinginsider.com/news/196959/prediction-markets-record-volume-election-betting-poll

Kalshi's inflation whale: a garage trader from Los Angeles keeps beating Wall Street on CPI markets

Quiet quarter-hour for new headlines in the last 15 minutes, so this fresh notable-trader profile leads, in a different category from the last three editions (political,…

A garage trader stands out on Kalshi

Brian Golden, a 44-year-old former theater director and aspiring screenwriter, has repeatedly ranked as the most successful trader in Kalshi Inc.’s economic-indicator markets, according to Bloomberg Law. He trades from his garage in Los Angeles.

The profile centers on his success forecasting inflation releases. It contrasts Golden’s results with the resources available to Wall Street banks, including teams of quantitative scientists, high-quality data and billions of dollars.

Results without a conventional background

Golden majored in performing arts and does not consider mathematics his strength, according to Bloomberg Law. That background makes him an unusual standout in markets tied to economic data.

Bloomberg Law describes Kalshi as the biggest US prediction platform. The available excerpt does not disclose Golden’s profits, position sizes, forecasting methods or the period over which his performance was assessed. It therefore offers a notable trader profile, but not enough evidence to explain his advantage or quantify his performance against Wall Street.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Economic releases are a venue for trader differentiation. Golden’s reported record highlights individual success in Kalshi’s economic-indicator contracts, particularly those tied to inflation.
  • The source leaves important performance questions unanswered. Without returns, exposure or a defined evaluation period, readers cannot independently assess the scale or consistency of his edge.
  • The profile is not a CPI forecast. The supplied material contains no current position, market price or prediction for the next inflation release.
  1. News (news.bloomberglaw.com)https://news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/screenwriter-beats-wall-street-on-inflation-bets-from-his-garage

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