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Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 13, 2026 · 2:09 AM ET

2 stories in this edition: Kalshi asks full Sixth Circuit to rehear its Ohio/Tennessee loss · Czech Republic moving to block Kalshi by mid-October

Kalshi asks full Sixth Circuit to rehear its Ohio/Tennessee loss

Kalshi told the Cincinnati-based court on Oct. 9 that the three-judge panel erred in ruling states can apply gambling laws to its sports-event contracts and in finding…

Kalshi seeks another review

Kalshi has asked the full Sixth Circuit to reconsider a three-judge panel’s decision allowing Ohio and Tennessee to pursue regulatory action over its offering of unlicensed online sports gambling, according to Bloomberg Law.

In an Oct. 9 filing with the Cincinnati-based court, Kalshi argued that the panel wrongly allowed states to impose penalties on it and other prediction-market platforms. The request seeks further review of a ruling that permits state gambling enforcement against its sports-event contracts.

Federal proposal supports Kalshi’s argument

Kalshi pointed to proposed rules released on Oct. 9 by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as support for its position, Bloomberg Law reported. The proposal would further define “swaps” to encompass event contracts covering sports, politics and other occurrences.

The dispute concerns the reach of state gambling laws over those contracts and their treatment under federal commodities regulation. The available reporting describes both a request for rehearing and a proposed federal rule—not a decision by the full Sixth Circuit or a finalized regulatory change.

What it means for prediction markets

  • State enforcement remains central: The panel’s ruling allows Ohio and Tennessee to take regulatory action against Kalshi over its sports offerings; Kalshi is seeking to have that ruling reconsidered.
  • Federal definitions are part of the challenge: Kalshi argues that the CFTC’s proposed treatment of event contracts as swaps strengthens its case against state penalties.
  • Two developments warrant attention: Whether the full Sixth Circuit grants review and how the CFTC proposal proceeds are distinct questions. Neither outcome is established in the available report.
  1. News (news.bloomberglaw.com)https://news.bloomberglaw.com/litigation/kalshi-seeks-full-6th-circuit-review-of-states-regulation-win

Czech Republic moving to block Kalshi by mid-October

The Czech Ministry of Finance added Kalshi to its unauthorized-gambling-operator blacklist on Sept. 30, giving ISPs 15 days to comply — the deadline expires now,…

The Czech Republic is moving to restrict access to Kalshi after its Ministry of Finance placed the US prediction-market platform on its unauthorized-gambling-operator blacklist on 30 September 2026, according to WeeBet, citing SBC News. The measure requires internet service providers to block access, putting Czech-based users at risk of losing service around mid-October 2026.

Blocking timetable remains unclear

WeeBet describes a 15-day compliance window in its summary, but its article says providers have fewer than 15 days and separately identifies approximately 17 October 2026 as the implementation deadline. Those descriptions do not establish a consistent cutoff, although all point to an imminent restriction.

The blacklist operates under the Czech Republic’s Act on Gambling and is administered by the Ministry of Finance. According to WeeBet, internet service providers must comply with a listing or face penalties.

US oversight does not resolve Czech licensing

Kalshi launched in the US as an event-contract exchange regulated by the CFTC. That status does not automatically authorize it to operate in European markets, where gambling regulation rests with individual member states, according to WeeBet.

The outlet reports that Kalshi has no announced Czech gaming licence. A licensing application, legal challenge or formal withdrawal would be the next concrete development to monitor; the supplied reporting does not identify an announced response from the company.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Access is the immediate issue: Czech-based users face an impending service restriction, but the reporting does not establish a single, unambiguous blocking date.
  • Regulatory status is jurisdiction-specific: Kalshi’s CFTC oversight in the US does not settle its treatment under Czech gambling law.
  • Implementation and any company response are the next milestones: ISP compliance and a potential licensing or legal move would clarify how the restriction develops.
  1. Weebet (weebet.com)https://weebet.com/news/czech-republic-blocks-kalshi-prediction-market-2026

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