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Hourly Briefing ·

Infiniti Intelligence Hourly Briefing — Oct 9, 2026 · 6:54 PM ET

2 stories in this edition: Kalshi probes suspicious trades on Trump's press secretary pick · Norway moves to block Kalshi, Polymarket and 60 other unlicensed sites

Kalshi probes suspicious trades on Trump's press secretary pick

Kalshi reviews timing of wagers

Kalshi has opened an investigation into suspicious trading tied to Trump's press secretary pick, according to Reuters, citing reporting by The Wall Street Journal.

The scrutiny follows the WSJ's identification of at least three small wagers on conservative commentator Katie Zacharia being selected for the White House role.

The bets drew attention because of their timing, rather than their size. The available summary describes them as well-timed but provides no amounts, transaction timestamps or trader identities.

The Reuters report was published on Oct 9, 2026. Its full text was unavailable in the supplied material, which gives no findings from Kalshi's investigation and does not establish that any trader violated market rules.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Timing is the focus: The reported review concerns at least three small wagers, highlighting scrutiny of when trades occurred rather than simply how much was staked.
  • An investigation is not a finding: The supplied information establishes that Kalshi is investigating, not that the wagers involved misconduct.
  • Key details remain unavailable: Without trade prices, amounts or timestamps, the material does not support conclusions about the bets' effect on market odds.

Norway moves to block Kalshi, Polymarket and 60 other unlicensed sites

Norway signals possible DNS restrictions

Norway’s gambling regulator has notified 62 companies that their websites could be subject to DNS blocking, according to igamingtoday.com. Kalshi and Polymarket are among the sites facing potential restrictions.

The Norwegian Gaming Authority’s notices concern companies serving Norwegian consumers in breach of gambling law, the outlet reported. The report identifies the targets as unlicensed sites.

For prediction-market readers, the inclusion of Kalshi and Polymarket puts both platforms within the scope of Norway’s enforcement action. The reported measure would target access to their websites through DNS blocking.

The report, published Oct 9, 2026 at 6:54 PM ET, describes a possible blocking action—not a completed one. The available summary does not specify an implementation date or provide responses from the companies.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Access is the immediate issue: Kalshi and Polymarket face potential website restrictions affecting Norwegian consumers.
  • Notice is not implementation: The information provided establishes that companies were notified, but does not confirm that blocking has begun.
  • The scope extends beyond the two platforms: The regulator notified 62 companies, placing Kalshi and Polymarket within a broader action against unlicensed sites.

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