WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October priced at 50.0% on Polymarket, up 21.0 points, on $511K traded

WTI threshold contract moves higher

Polymarket’s contract on whether WTI crude oil would hit a high of $105 in October was priced at 50.0%, up 21.0 probability points, with $511K traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 29, 2026 · 11:39 PM ET.

According to PredictionBubbles, the WTI $105 October contract appeared among upward-moving finance and commodities markets on its movers board. The increase reflects a shift in the contract’s implied probability, not a reported change in the price of crude oil itself.

What the snapshot captures

PredictionBubbles’ supplied board snapshot used venue prices read on 30 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC. The service updates every 15 minutes and measures probability changes over 24 hours, drawing prices from Polymarket and Kalshi.

The board ranks moves by their size in probability points rather than relative percentage changes. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not affect those rankings, according to PredictionBubbles. Its comparison covers 1,998 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes markets without a valid day-earlier price.

The supplied material does not identify a catalyst for the WTI repricing or provide the contract’s detailed settlement terms. It also does not establish whether the reported $511K represents trading over the movement window or a longer period, limiting what can be concluded about activity behind the jump.

What it means for prediction markets

• The price signals an evenly balanced market: At 50.0%, the contract assigned equal implied probabilities to the two outcomes at the reported snapshot.
• The move is measured in points: The 21.0-point increase is a substantial repricing, not a 21.0% relative gain and not confirmation that WTI reached $105.
• Volume needs context: The $511K traded figure does not, by itself, establish order-book depth or explain the price change.
• Settlement details remain important: The supplied material does not specify the price reference or observation rules used to determine whether the October threshold was met.