Valentin Vacherot wins priced at 43.0% on Kalshi, up 14.0 points, on $1.6M traded
PredictionBubbles' main board, fresh on its Oct. 29, 13:42 UTC crawl at 2,134 open markets with $6.29B traded, lists the Vacherot contract among its new markets, created…
The Kalshi contract on a Valentin Vacherot win was priced at 43.0%, up 14.0 percentage points, with $1.6M traded, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles headline dated Oct 29, 2026, at 9:39 AM ET. The figures indicate a substantial upward repricing, though the material does not identify what prompted it.
A sharp move, with limited contract detail
PredictionBubbles measures price changes over 24 hours in percentage points, rather than percentage gains. Its volume figure represents cumulative trading, not money traded exclusively during that period or the value of positions still open.
The supplied summary places the Vacherot contract among the board’s newly listed markets. It ends before giving the creation details, while the accompanying source excerpt does not specify the opponent, competition, resolution deadline or settlement conditions.
Board snapshots differ
According to the summary, PredictionBubbles’ Oct. 29, 13:42 UTC crawl covered 2,134 open markets with $6.29B traded. The supplied website excerpt instead reports 2135 open markets. Those counts describe different supplied snapshots and should not be treated as a single synchronized reading.
PredictionBubbles says it aggregates Kalshi and Polymarket prices and refreshes its data every 15 minutes. It distinguishes market-implied probabilities from established outcome probabilities: the displayed price reflects traders’ valuation, not a guarantee of a result.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction is clear; the catalyst is not. The 14.0-point rise shows stronger pricing for a Vacherot win, but the supplied reporting does not explain the change.
- Volume is not liquidity. The $1.6M traded measures cumulative activity; it does not establish current order-book depth or open interest.
- Contract scope remains unspecified. Without the event details and settlement rules, the 43.0% price cannot be tied precisely to a particular match or competition from this material alone.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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