UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan priced at 71.5% on Polymarket, up 29.0 points, on $1.2M traded

The Polymarket contract for UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan was priced at 71.5%, after a 29.0-point increase over 24 hours, with $1.2M traded in the supplied market snapshot. PredictionBubbles’ movers-board summary identified the bantamweight main-card contract as the largest upward sports move, with resolution expected in about seven hours.

A sharp move close to resolution

The update was published on Oct 24, 2026, at 5:24 PM ET. According to PredictionBubbles, the underlying board used venue prices retrieved on 24 Oct 2026, 21:13 UTC, and refreshes every 15 minutes. Its coverage spans Polymarket and Kalshi.

The supplied material does not identify which fighter or contract outcome the 71.5% price represents. It also provides no bout-specific reporting explaining the increase. The figures therefore establish a substantial repricing, but not its cause or which fighter traders favored.

What the ranking captures

According to PredictionBubbles, the board ranks changes in probability points rather than relative percentages; trading volume and liquidity do not affect placement. Its stated universe covers 1,970 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify, making the ranking a filtered measure of movement rather than a comprehensive view of sports betting activity.

What it means for prediction markets

• Magnitude matters: The 29.0-point rise measures a change in implied probability, not a 29.0% relative increase.
• Volume is context, not an explanation: The reported $1.2M traded accompanies the price move, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth or what drove trading.
• The outcome label needs verification: Without the specific side attached to 71.5%, the snapshot should not be read as a win probability for either Merab Dvalishvili or Petr Yan.
• Timing limits the snapshot: With resolution expected in about seven hours, the quoted probability describes a near-resolution market at the recorded update—not a settled result.