Trump be impeached and removed from office — before his term ends priced at 22.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $792K traded

Kalshi traders priced the prospect of Trump being impeached and removed from office before his term ends at 22.0%, up 4.0 percentage points, with $792K traded, in the supplied market update published Oct. 30, 2026, at 12:24 PM ET.

The contract concerns both impeachment and removal before the end of his term—not impeachment alone. The supplied material identifies no news event or political development explaining the repricing.

Reading the snapshot

According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board compares prices on Polymarket and Kalshi over 24 hours and refreshes every 15 minutes. Rankings reflect the absolute change in probability points, rather than relative percentage changes; trading volume does not determine a market’s position.

The accompanying summary describes an Oct. 30, 16:24 UTC crawl using data read at Oct. 30, 15:42 UTC, with 1,994 markets ranked and 528 moving at least 1 point. The supplied page contains a different snapshot: venue data read on 30 Oct 2026, at 16:13 UTC, covering 2,003 markets, with its table displaying the top 150 of 536 movers. Those counts should be treated as separate observations rather than combined.

What the figures establish

PredictionBubbles says the ranking covers open markets lasting longer than 14 days that have a valid 24-hour price comparison. Markets already resolved or too new to provide that baseline are excluded. That makes the board a measure of repricing within a defined market universe, not a comprehensive ranking of every available contract.

The $792K trading figure provides context, but the supplied Trump update does not specify its measurement window or give order-book depth. Neither that figure nor the price change establishes what caused traders to revise their assessment.

What it means for prediction markets

• The outcome remains below even odds: 22.0% indicates that traders priced impeachment and removal before the term ends as less likely than not.
• The change is in percentage points: the reported increase is 4.0 points, not a 4.0% relative gain.
• Contract scope matters: an assessment of impeachment alone does not answer this market’s combined impeachment-and-removal question.
• The catalyst remains unverified: the supplied material documents a price move, not evidence of a corresponding political development.