Tie is the result priced at 97.0% on Kalshi, up 70.0 points, on $990K traded

The Kalshi outcome “Tie” was priced at 97.0%, up 70.0 probability points, with $990K traded, according to the supplied headline accompanying PredictionBubbles’ movers-board report. The provided material does not identify the underlying event or explain what drove the change.

Snapshot timing matters

The report’s summary places the observation in PredictionBubbles’ Oct. 29, 21:59 UTC crawl, using data read at Oct. 29, 21:46 UTC. It also discloses that this was the same crawl used for the 1754 edition, rather than a separate observation.

The article’s publication timestamp is Oct 29, 2026 · 6:09 PM ET. The supplied PredictionBubbles page carries a later venue-data timestamp of 29 Oct 2026, 22:16 UTC, but its extracted text does not include the individual Tie listing. That limits independent confirmation of the headline figures from the page excerpt.

What the board measures

According to PredictionBubbles, its movers rankings compare market-implied probabilities over 24 hours, with updates every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. Changes are measured in probability points, not relative percentages; volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine rank.

The supplied page describes a universe of 2,003 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures to reduce the prominence of settlement-driven swings. It displays the top 150 of 554 markets moving at least one probability point. Those board-wide figures do not establish the Tie contract’s rank, liquidity or settlement status.

What it means for prediction markets

• The reported move is a repricing, not a confirmed result. A 97.0% price indicates a strongly favored outcome, but the material does not establish that a tie occurred.
• Volume leaves important questions unanswered. The headline reports $990K traded without specifying its measurement window or providing order-book depth.
• The snapshots should remain distinct. The later page timestamp cannot be treated as a fresh confirmation of the earlier Tie price, and the shared crawl does not demonstrate an additional move.
• Contract details are essential context. Without the event name, resolution criteria or deadline, the cause and significance of the 70.0-point increase remain uncertain.