T1 win Worlds 2026 priced at 18.5% on Polymarket, up 3 points, on $232K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the T1 Worlds contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits in the…
T1’s contract to win Worlds 2026 was priced at 18.5% on Polymarket, up 3 probability points over 24 hours, with $232K traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 24, 2026, at 4:54 AM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among upward moves in its sports category. The supplied material does not identify a specific development behind the repricing.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks changes in market-implied probability over 24 hours, using probability points rather than relative percentage changes. T1’s increase therefore represents a 3-point shift in the market’s assessment, not a 3% relative gain.
The board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and refreshes every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 24 Oct 2026, 08:37 UTC, and describes a universe of 2,015 markets lasting longer than 14 days. Same-week fixtures are excluded to keep moves associated with imminent settlement from dominating the rankings.
What the figures establish
According to PredictionBubbles, volume and liquidity provide context but do not affect the movement ranking. The $232K traded figure accompanies T1’s repricing; the supplied material does not establish the contract’s order-book depth or explain which trades drove the increase.
The move shows that traders assigned T1 a higher market-implied probability than a day earlier. It does not, by itself, establish that new information about the outcome emerged.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and change are separate signals: The 18.5% figure is the reported market-implied probability; the 3-point increase measures its movement over 24 hours.
- Volume is context, not proof of depth: The reported $232K traded does not establish how readily additional orders could be absorbed.
- The catalyst remains unidentified: The supplied reporting supports an upward repricing, but not a specific explanation for it.
- Timing matters: The board updates every 15 minutes, so the figures describe a snapshot rather than a fixed probability.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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