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T1 win Worlds 2026 priced at 15.5% on Polymarket, down 3.0 points, on $289K traded

PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the T1 Worlds contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits in…

T1’s Polymarket contract to win Worlds 2026 was priced at 15.5%, down 3.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $289K traded, in the supplied update published Oct 25, 2026, at 5:09 AM ET.

According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. The supplied material does not identify a competitive development or other specific catalyst for the repricing.

How the move is measured

PredictionBubbles ranks changes by their absolute size in probability points, rather than by relative percentage returns. T1’s 3.0-point decline therefore describes a shift in the market’s implied probability, not a 3.0% relative drop.

The board covers Polymarket and Kalshi and refreshes every 15 minutes. The supplied source records a venue-data snapshot of 25 Oct 2026, 08:37 UTC, and a ranking universe of 2,025 markets lasting longer than 14 days. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify.

What the trading figure establishes

The $289K traded provides context for the T1 price change, but the supplied headline does not specify the period covered by that figure. According to PredictionBubbles, volume and liquidity do not affect the movers ranking; the ordering depends solely on the probability-point change.

The supplied page text explains the board’s methodology but does not reproduce T1’s individual market entry. That limits what can be established beyond the headline figures and the summary’s identification of the contract as a downward sports move.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A lower market estimate: The 15.5% price reflects weaker market-implied chances for T1 than 24 hours earlier, not a confirmed change in the eventual outcome.
  • No established catalyst: The material does not explain why traders repriced the contract, so attributing the decline to team performance or news would be speculative.
  • Volume needs context: The $289K figure alone does not establish order-book depth or how much trading accompanied the 24-hour decline.
PredictionMarketsPolymarket

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

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