Super Bowl LXI winner: San Francisco 49ers lead at 13% on both venues, up 4 points in 7 days
DeFi Rate's Oct. 15 reading, observed 8:08 PM ET, puts the 49ers at 13.5c on Kalshi and 12.6c on Polymarket — a winner book distinct from the Super Bowl…
San Francisco leads the winner market
The San Francisco 49ers led the Super Bowl LXI winner market at a rounded 13% on both Kalshi and Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate’s Oct. 15 reading. Their standing was up 4 percentage points over 7 days.
The underlying prices differed: the 49ers were at 13.5c on Kalshi and 12.6c on Polymarket. Those venue-specific readings provide more precision than the shared 13% headline figure.
DeFi Rate observed the prices at 8:08 PM ET on Oct. 15, 2026. The report was published at 8:09 PM ET that day.
The supplied summary concerns the Super Bowl LXI winner book. With the source page text unavailable, it offers no further detail on rival teams, trading activity or the reasons for San Francisco’s weekly gain.
What it means for prediction markets
- The rounded figures mask a venue difference. Kalshi’s 13.5c reading was higher than Polymarket’s 12.6c, despite both being presented as 13%.
- The lead remains far from a majority probability. San Francisco topped the reported winner market, but its quoted chances were still well below 50%.
- The move is a snapshot, not an explanation. The reported 4-percentage-point rise over 7 days establishes direction; the supplied material does not identify what drove it.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Defirate (defirate.com)https://defirate.com/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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