South Carolina wins priced at 40.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $1.3M traded

South Carolina’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 40.0%, up 4.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $1.3M traded, according to PredictionBubbles. The contract appeared among the board’s rising sports markets and was listed as resolving in 3 days.

The snapshot behind the move

The supplied summary places the South Carolina listing in an Oct. 30, 00:17 UTC crawl. The accompanying PredictionBubbles page carries a venue-data timestamp of 30 Oct 2026, 00:18 UTC. The story’s publication timestamp is Oct 29, 2026 · 8:09 PM ET.

PredictionBubbles says it collects prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates its movers board every 15 minutes. Rankings reflect the absolute size of each market’s 24-hour probability-point change, rather than its relative percentage gain. Trading volume provides context but does not affect the ranking.

What the listing establishes

The board describes a universe of 1,996 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures that open and settle inside two days. Its table displays the top 150 of 532 markets moving at least one probability point, and only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify.

The supplied material does not identify South Carolina’s opponent, the specific competition or a catalyst for the price increase. It also does not include the contract’s settlement rules. The listing therefore establishes a market repricing, but does not explain what drove it.

What it means for prediction markets

• Higher, but below 50%: The 40.0% price indicates an upward shift in the market-implied probability, not that a South Carolina win is now the more likely outcome.
• Points, not relative growth: The reported increase is 4.0 probability points over 24 hours, not a 4.0% relative gain.
• Volume is context: The $1.3M traded figure accompanies the move, but does not by itself establish order-book depth or explain the repricing.
• Resolution is close: With 3 days remaining in the listing, the missing event details and settlement terms limit how precisely readers can interpret the contract.