S&P 500 between 7600 and 7799.99 on December 31, 2026 priced at 17c on Kalshi, with 14K contracts traded in 24 hours

The Kalshi contract for the S&P 500 to finish between 7600 and 7799.99 on December 31, 2026 was priced at 17¢, with 14K contracts traded over 24 hours, according to the supplied headline accompanying PredictionMarketPicks’ leaderboard coverage.

The accompanying summary references an October 31 snapshot at 7:12 AM ET covering 291 priced contracts across 20 series. It does not provide the S&P 500 contract’s exact rank.

Different snapshots, limited confirmation

The supplied page from predictionmarketspicks.com shows a later snapshot, dated October 31, 2026 at 7:27 AM EDT, covering 288 priced contracts across 20 series. That extract does not include the S&P 500 contract’s row, so it does not independently confirm whether the 17¢ price or 14K volume remained unchanged.

According to the site, the leaderboard refreshes every five minutes and ranks markets by 24-hour contract volume and price changes. Its coverage spans Crypto, Economics, Politics, Sports and Weather; it is a tracked selection rather than a statement about every Kalshi market.

Reading the price and activity

The leaderboard uses the midpoint of the Yes bid and ask when both are available, otherwise the last trade, according to predictionmarketspicks.com. The reported 17¢ therefore should not automatically be treated as an executable offer.

The site also specifies that volume and open interest are measured in contract counts. The 14K figure describes trading activity, not dollars committed or the number of individual traders, and does not establish whether the year-end S&P 500 outcome is likely to occur.

What it means for prediction markets

• The outcome is a defined interval: The contract concerns the S&P 500 between 7600 and 7799.99 on December 31, 2026, not simply whether the index rises.
• Timing matters: The earlier summary and later page extract have different timestamps and coverage counts. The supplied material does not establish a subsequent price move in this contract.
• Activity is not conviction: The 14K contracts traded indicate participation, but volume alone does not identify traders’ positions or validate the forecast.
• Execution remains separate: A midpoint or last-trade price can differ from the price available for a new order.