President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029 priced at 65.0% on Kalshi, down 3.0 points, on $744K traded
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used today, taken by website-only batches, or on the banned list…
Kalshi’s market on whether the president will be impeached before Jan 20, 2029 was priced at 65.0%, down 3.0 percentage points, with $744K traded, in the supplied market update published Oct 27, 2026 at 7:24 AM ET. The price still put impeachment above an even chance, despite the decline.
The accompanying news scan identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. It reported only previously surfaced or excluded items, leaving the supplied material without a fresh news catalyst to explain the repricing.
Reading the move
According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers dashboard measures probability-point changes over 24 hours, using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and refreshing every 15 minutes. The supplied page lists its venue-data snapshot as 27 Oct 2026, 11:16 UTC. Its rankings measure the size of price changes, rather than relative percentage returns.
The source excerpt provides that methodology but does not display the impeachment contract’s individual entry. The 65.0% price, 3.0-point decline and $744K traded figure therefore come from the supplied headline, rather than an independently visible listing in the excerpt. The headline also does not specify the trading-volume period.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction and level differ: The contract moved lower, but its reported price remained above 50%.
- The catalyst is unconfirmed: The supplied news scan does not establish why traders repriced the outcome.
- Volume needs context: The $744K figure alone does not establish order-book depth or how much trading accompanied the decline.
- Resolution details remain important: The headline specifies impeachment before Jan 20, 2029, but the supplied material does not include the contract’s full settlement rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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