President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028 priced at 68.0% on Kalshi, up 3.0 points, on $1.2M traded

Impeachment contract moves higher

Kalshi’s market on whether the president will be impeached before Jan 1, 2028 was priced at 68.0%, up 3.0 probability points, with $1.2M traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 31, 2026 at 2:54 AM ET.

The headline identifies a higher market-implied probability, but the supplied material does not identify a political development behind the move. It also does not specify the period covered by the $1.2M trading figure.

Different snapshots of the movers board

According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board compares prices over 24 hours and updates every 15 minutes using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Rankings reflect the absolute size of probability-point changes, rather than relative percentage gains or trading volume.

The supplied summary describes an Oct. 31, 06:54 UTC crawl using data read at Oct. 31, 06:10 UTC: 2,040 markets were ranked, with 531 moving at least 1 point over 24 hours. The supplied page shows a different snapshot, with venue data read on 31 Oct 2026 at 06:40 UTC, covering 2,031 markets and listing the top 150 of 534 qualifying movers.

PredictionBubbles says the ranking covers markets lasting longer than 14 days and requires a valid 24-hour price comparison. Those filters aim to separate sustained repricing from short-lived contracts moving toward settlement.

The supplied page text does not display the impeachment contract’s individual entry. Its broader methodology therefore provides context for the headline, but does not independently confirm the contract’s price, movement or volume.

What it means for prediction markets

• The move is measured in points: the reported increase is 3.0 probability points, not a 3.0% relative gain.
• Volume and price answer different questions: $1.2M traded provides activity context, but the supplied material does not establish liquidity or how much trading accompanied this particular move.
• Snapshot timing matters: the summary and page contain different timestamps and market counts, so they should not be treated as one synchronized reading.
• The catalyst remains unspecified: the reported price reflects trader positioning, not confirmation that impeachment will occur.