Polymarket prices Edmonton at 55% against Los Angeles at 46% in tonight's late Oilers–Kings game

Edmonton holds a narrow pricing edge

Edmonton was priced ahead of Los Angeles in the supplied Oct 13, 2026, 10:24 PM ET snapshot of Polymarket’s NHL moneyline: Oilers contracts stood at 55c and Kings contracts at 46c, implying 55% and 46%, respectively. The snapshot reported $2,265 traded ahead of the game scheduled for 10:30 PM ET.

The accompanying Polymarket page shows different volume figures: $53.6K for the moneyline and $56,885 across the event, rounded elsewhere to $56.89K. The supplied material does not establish the timing of those readings relative to the snapshot, so they should not be presented as a verified increase in trading.

Settlement depends on the completed game

According to Polymarket’s rules, the moneyline settles to whichever team wins, with overtime and shootouts included. For settlement scoring, a shootout victory adds one goal to the winner’s total. A postponement keeps the market open through completion; cancellation without a replacement game produces a 50-50 resolution.

Separate contracts on the page cover an Edmonton winning margin of 2 or more goals and combined scoring thresholds of 5, 6, 7 and 8 goals. The margin contract settles to Kings if Edmonton does not meet that requirement, while each total settles to Over when its threshold is reached and Under otherwise. Those contracts carry the same postponement, cancellation and final-score provisions.

Polymarket lists the market’s opening as Sep 16, 2026, 11:30 AM ET, and its end date as Oct 13, 2026. The page header displays October 14 at 2:30 AM, while the contract rules specify October 13 at 10:30 PM ET.

What it means for prediction markets

• Edmonton is the priced favorite, not an overwhelming one. The quoted 55c and 46c prices total 101c, rather than forming a normalized 100% probability split.
• Volume comparisons require care. The $2,265 snapshot and the page’s $53.6K moneyline figure cannot establish a trading trend without matching timestamps.
• Contract selection matters. An Oilers win determines the moneyline, but the separate margin contract requires Edmonton to win by 2 or more goals.
• Regulation is not the settlement cutoff. Overtime and shootouts count, and postponement can extend the market beyond its listed end date.