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Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division priced at 19.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points, on $811K traded

PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Pittsburgh division contract among the day's downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has…

Pittsburgh’s contract to win the Pro Football AFC North Division was priced at 19.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $811K traded. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the day’s downward sports moves.

The figures accompanied an update published Oct 26, 2026 · 6:54 PM ET. PredictionBubbles’ supplied board snapshot recorded venue data as of 26 Oct 2026, 22:37 UTC.

A decline in the division outlook

The move reflects a lower market-implied probability of Pittsburgh winning the division. The 5.0-point decline measures the change in probability, rather than a 5.0% relative fall in the contract’s price.

The supplied material does not identify a game result, team announcement or other catalyst for the repricing. It places Pittsburgh within the board’s sports category, but does not establish that the contract was the category’s largest mover.

How the board measures movement

According to PredictionBubbles, its rankings compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket over 24 hours and refresh every 15 minutes. The board covers 1,991 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures to limit the influence of sharp moves associated with imminent settlement.

Markets are ordered by the absolute size of their probability-point changes, not by trading volume or liquidity. The displayed table contains the top 150 of 503 markets moving at least one point; only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The signal is a lower implied probability: Pittsburgh was priced at 19.0% after a 5.0-point decline, not a change in the underlying outcome itself.
  • Volume provides context, not a cause: The $811K traded figure does not establish what drove the move or how much liquidity was available.
  • The snapshot has limits: The supplied reporting offers no catalyst for Pittsburgh’s decline, and the board’s 15-minute refresh cycle means the figures describe a specific observation rather than a fixed outlook.
PredictionMarketsKalshi

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

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