Ole Miss wins priced at 41.0% on Kalshi, down 1 point, on $930K traded

The Ole Miss win contract on Kalshi stood at a market-implied probability of 41.0%, down 1 percentage point over 24 hours, with $930K traded in the Oct 23, 2026 · 1:54 PM ET snapshot. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appears among sports markets approaching resolution, with 3 days remaining.

A near-term contract on a broader sports board

The supplied material does not identify Ole Miss’s opponent, the sport or the contract’s full settlement conditions. It also provides no explanation for the probability decline, limiting what can be concluded about the move beyond the change in traders’ pricing.

According to PredictionBubbles, its sports page covers 573 open markets: 210 on Kalshi and 363 on Polymarket. The embedded visualization displays the 300 largest by traded volume, while the full board covers the entire tracked set. Its coverage includes individual games, series, championships and season totals.

The site separates markets by trading activity, price movement and approaching deadlines. Its movement ranking uses the absolute probability change over the previous 24 hours, while its volume ranking uses total turnover. Contracts without a dependable resolution deadline are excluded from the ending-soon list.

Reading the price and turnover

PredictionBubbles republishes exchange data every 15 minutes, although trading on the venues continues between updates. The displayed probability refers to the first listed outcome: for example, a contract priced at 70¢ represents a 70% market-implied probability. The site describes volume as total trading reported by the venue, rather than a measure of the size of a probability move.

For context, PredictionBubbles identified the Shakhtar Donetsk contract to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship as its most-traded open sports market at the latest refresh, with $34.6M traded on Polymarket. PredictionBubbles is an information service displaying prices from the two exchanges; it does not take wagers, hold funds or provide trading accounts.

What it means for prediction markets

• Price and activity tell different stories. Ole Miss’s 41.0% probability measures the market’s pricing of the outcome; $930K measures reported turnover. Neither supplies a reason for the 1-point decline.
• Resolution details remain important. The 3-day countdown puts the contract near settlement, but the supplied material does not establish the exact event or rules governing the result.
• Refresh timing and contract wording matter. The board’s 15-minute update cycle is not a continuous price feed. PredictionBubbles also cautions that related Kalshi and Polymarket contracts can differ in wording and resolution rules, so their prices are not necessarily directly comparable.