Mississippi St. wins priced at 11% on Kalshi, down 5 points, on $2.0M traded

Mississippi State contract falls to 11%

The Mississippi State win contract on Kalshi was priced at 11%, down 5 probability points, with $2.0M traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 17, 2026 · 12:39 PM ET.

PredictionBubbles places the contract among the day’s most active markets on its movers board, according to the accompanying summary. The supplied page extract does not show the individual contract listing, identify the opponent or explain what prompted the decline.

Trading activity and price movement measure different things

According to PredictionBubbles, its most-active section orders markets by 24-hour traded volume. Its movers rankings instead use the absolute change in implied probability over 24 hours. Mississippi State’s activity ranking therefore should not be read as a ranking of the size of its price decline.

The board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes. The supplied snapshot records a venue-data timestamp of 17 Oct 2026, 16:10 UTC, earlier than the headline’s publication time.

PredictionBubbles says its movement rankings cover 1,976 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures to prevent settlement-driven swings from dominating. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify; the displayed table contains the top 150 of 394 markets moving at least one probability point.

What it means for prediction markets

• The decline is measured in points: The reported change is 5 probability points, not a 5% relative fall.
• Volume is not liquidity: The $2.0M traded figure describes activity, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth or explain the repricing.
• Contract details remain important: Without the individual listing, opponent or settlement terms, the 11% price cannot support a more specific assessment of the event.
• The price is a snapshot: It records traders’ valuation at a particular time, not a confirmed outcome or an explanation of why expectations changed.