Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship priced at 11.2% on Polymarket, up 0.5 points, on $1.9M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, unchanged on its Oct. 28, 01:41 UTC read, lists the Vikings conference-championship contract among its traded sports markets, in a…
The Polymarket contract on the Minnesota Vikings winning the 2027 NFL NFC Championship stood at an implied probability of 11.2%, up 0.5 percentage points, with $1.9M traded, according to PredictionBubbles. The figures accompanied the Oct. 27, 2026, 9:54 PM ET update; the summary described the board as unchanged at its Oct. 28, 01:41 UTC reading.
A modest move in a conference-title contract
The increase represents a change in traders’ pricing of Minnesota’s conference-championship prospects, not a confirmed change in the team’s underlying outlook. PredictionBubbles defines its movement column as the difference in implied probability over the previous 24 hours.
The supplied material identifies no Vikings-specific development behind the move. It therefore offers no basis for attributing the increase to injuries, lineups, recent performance or any other catalyst.
Reading the board
According to PredictionBubbles, its sports page covers 540 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket: 192 from Kalshi and 348 from Polymarket. Its embedded visualization displays the 300 largest markets by traded volume, while the full board includes all 540.
The service refreshes its data every 15 minutes, although trading on the underlying venues continues between updates. It also distinguishes total traded volume from probability movement: the $1.9M figure measures cumulative trading reported for the Vikings contract, rather than the amount traded during its latest price increase.
PredictionBubbles displays exchange prices and does not accept wagers, hold funds or provide accounts. It also cautions that related contracts across venues can differ in their wording and resolution rules, limiting direct comparisons.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and movement are separate signals: The 11.2% implied probability is the reported level; the 0.5-percentage-point gain describes its 24-hour change.
- Volume does not establish a catalyst: The $1.9M traded figure does not show how much activity drove the latest move or why traders repriced the contract.
- Timing and terms matter: The board’s 15-minute refresh cycle can lag live exchange activity, and comparisons with other contracts require checking their wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
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