Michael Mmoh wins priced at 3% on Kalshi, on $1.1M traded, in a newly listed market

Mmoh contract opens with a low implied chance

A newly listed Kalshi tennis contract on Michael Mmoh winning is priced at 3%, with $1.1M traded, according to the supplied market snapshot attributed to PredictionBubbles. The figures put a low market-implied probability alongside substantial trading volume.

The snapshot, published Oct 16, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET, describes the contract as having been created about 13 hours earlier. Its listed resolution countdown was about 13 days 22 hours.

What the listing establishes

PredictionBubbles aggregates markets from Kalshi and Polymarket and refreshes its prices every 15 minutes, according to predictionbubbles.net. Its new-markets board orders listings by when they appeared, rather than by trading volume or probability changes.

The supplied page text does not identify Mmoh’s opponent, the tournament or the contract’s settlement conditions. It also does not provide a contract-specific price history or 24-hour probability change, leaving no basis to say whether the 3% reading represents an increase, a decline or an unchanged opening assessment.

The $1.1M figure measures trading that has taken place, not the amount currently available to trade or the value of positions still open. PredictionBubbles distinguishes those measures as volume, liquidity and open interest, respectively. The reported volume alone therefore does not establish how readily traders could transact at the displayed probability.

What it means for prediction markets

• Price is an assessment, not a result: The 3% reading reflects the market’s valuation of a Mmoh win, rather than a verified probability.
• Activity does not establish direction: $1.1M traded indicates turnover, but the supplied material does not show how the price moved.
• Settlement details remain important: The countdown indicates a resolution horizon, but the missing matchup and contract rules limit interpretation of exactly what traders are pricing.