Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31 priced at 14.5% on Polymarket, up 7.0 points, on $243K traded

The Polymarket contract on whether Masoud Pezeshkian will be out by December 31 was priced at 14.5%, up 7.0 probability points, with $243K traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 29, 2026 · 4:24 PM ET.

The higher price represents a shift toward that outcome, although it remains the less likely result at the quoted odds. The supplied material does not identify a fresh Pezeshkian-related development that explains the move.

What the market data establish

According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers dashboard compares market-implied probabilities over 24 hours, using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and updating every 15 minutes. Changes are measured in probability points, rather than relative percentages.

The supplied dashboard extract records a venue-data snapshot of 29 Oct 2026, 20:45 UTC. It does not include a Pezeshkian-specific market entry, so it cannot independently confirm the headline’s price, move or traded-volume figure. The extract also does not establish the period covered by the headline’s $243K figure.

Repricing without a documented catalyst

Predictionbubbles.net distinguishes price movement from trading activity: its movers ranking reflects the size of the probability change, while volume provides separate context. The outlet notes that prices can respond to news, orders in a thin market or traders reacting to one another.

That distinction matters here. The available material documents a reported repricing, but provides neither the contract’s full resolution criteria nor order-book information. It therefore does not establish precisely what would qualify as Pezeshkian being “out,” or how much liquidity supported the move.

What it means for prediction markets

• Direction is clearer than cause: The reported 7.0-point increase indicates higher market pricing for the outcome, not evidence of a specific political development.
• The outcome remains below even odds: A 14.5% price still places it on the less likely side of the contract.
• Volume is not liquidity: The reported $243K traded does not, by itself, establish market depth or explain the repricing.
• Settlement details remain a gap: The supplied extract omits the contract’s exact criteria, limiting interpretation of the December 31 deadline.