Ljubljana mayoral race is the widest verified cross-venue split: Jankovic at 75c on Kalshi vs. 68c on Polymarket

Ljubljana prices diverge across venues

The supplied snapshot for Oct 14, 2026 · 5:09 AM ET places Jankovic at 75c on Kalshi and 68c on Polymarket in the Ljubljana mayoral race. It describes the gap as the widest verified cross-venue split, but the accompanying source material does not independently substantiate that ranking or those election prices.

The summary reports no significant new platform headline during the preceding 15 minutes, making the political snapshot the lead item. It does not provide contract wording, liquidity information or settlement criteria for either mayoral market.

Supporting source covers a different market

According to picksbyodds.com, a separate contract asks whether the upper bound of the federal funds rate will be above 5.00% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting. The site reports that YES has moved 21.0 percentage points since its archive began, describing the observation as a research signal rather than trading advice.

That excerpt supplies neither the direction of the rate-market move nor its current price. It also contains no Ljubljana election data, leaving the mayoral comparison dependent on the supplied headline rather than corroborating source detail.

What it means for prediction markets

• The reported 75c Kalshi price and 68c Polymarket price indicate different valuations of Jankovic’s prospects, subject to confirmation of the underlying contracts and quotes.
• Without matching contract terms and settlement criteria, the material does not establish that the two prices represent directly equivalent outcomes.
• The “widest verified” characterization cannot be checked against the supplied source, which covers a federal funds rate contract rather than the Ljubljana mayoral race.