Late window live: 49ers lead Seahawks 14-13 late in Q2, flipping the pregame board

San Francisco holds a narrow lead

San Francisco led Seattle 14-13 at Lumen Field late in the second quarter, according to the supplied game summary. The update, published Oct 11, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET, put the pregame underdog ahead as halftime approached.

Christian McCaffrey scored a touchdown following a fumble recovery. That sequence left the 49ers in front despite entering the game with a market-implied win probability of approximately 39-41%.

Pregame expectations meet the live score

The lead ran counter to the pregame market’s preference for Seattle. However, the supplied material includes no live contract prices, so it does not establish how far probabilities moved or whether San Francisco became the market favorite.

The linked Sportradar page contains website code rather than usable game reporting. This account therefore relies on the supplied summary; the exact game clock and further details of the scoring sequence are unavailable.

What it means for prediction markets

• Pregame pricing is only a baseline: San Francisco’s approximately 39-41% probability describes its position before kickoff, not its chances at the reported game state.
• A scoreboard reversal is not a verified market reversal: The 14-13 lead contrasts with Seattle’s pregame advantage, but no live price is provided to quantify repricing.
• Timing matters: This is a late-second-quarter snapshot, not a halftime score or final result.