Kalshi Bitcoin 5pm ET contract draws $723K, $81,500 or above at 53c
The Oct. 14 contract ranks 10th overall, with $81,250 or above at 74c and $80,250 or above at 98c.
Bitcoin thresholds ahead of 5pm ET
Kalshi’s Bitcoin contract for 5pm ET on Oct. 14, 2026 drew $723K in trading, with the $81,500-or-above outcome priced at 53c, according to the supplied market summary published at 4:54 PM ET.
The Oct. 14 contract ranked 10th overall. Lower thresholds carried higher prices: $81,250 or above stood at 74c, while $80,250 or above traded at 98c.
Those prices put the $81,500 threshold closest to an evenly priced outcome among the three listed levels. The lower thresholds reflected substantially stronger market expectations, though none of the quoted prices establishes the final result.
The accompanying source does not independently substantiate the Bitcoin figures. The provided excerpt from defirate.com instead lists a LASK Linz vs Liverpool FC correct-score market as having traded across 2 venues in the last 24 hours.
What it means for prediction markets
- Threshold selection matters: The three quoted prices describe different Bitcoin outcomes, not conflicting estimates of the same event.
- Timing matters: The summary’s 4:54 PM ET timestamp places the snapshot shortly before the contract’s 5pm ET target. It does not provide settlement results.
- Verification remains limited: The $723K trading figure, overall ranking and Bitcoin prices come from the supplied summary; the accompanying source excerpt concerns a separate sports market.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Defirate (defirate.com)https://defirate.com/odds/
Date & time:
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