Jordan Love win the MVP priced at 4.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points, on $1.9M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, on the same fresh Oct. 30, 13:56 UTC crawl, lists the Love MVP contract among its most-traded sports markets, in a sports category. It…
Jordan Love’s MVP contract on Kalshi stood at a 4.0% market-implied probability, up 1.0 percentage points over the last 24 hours, with $1.9M traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ sports board.
The snapshot came from the Oct. 30, 2026, 13:56 UTC crawl. PredictionBubbles listed the contract among its most-traded sports markets, although the supplied material does not identify its exact rank.
Volume and movement measure different things
PredictionBubbles orders its most-traded list by total traded volume, separately from its ranking of absolute probability changes over the last 24 hours. The $1.9M figure therefore describes cumulative trading activity, not money traded during the period in which Love’s probability rose.
The supplied material offers no explanation for that increase. It contains no Love-specific performance, lineup or injury reporting that would establish a catalyst for the repricing.
A periodically refreshed snapshot
According to PredictionBubbles, its sports page tracks 544 open markets: 230 on Kalshi and 314 on Polymarket. Its embedded display shows the 300 largest markets by volume, while the full board covers all 544.
PredictionBubbles refreshes its data every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates. The service displays exchange-published prices rather than accepting wagers, so the reported 4.0% is a timestamped market reading, not necessarily the latest available price.
What it means for prediction markets
- Love remained a low-probability outcome: The 1.0-percentage-point gain left the contract at 4.0%, despite its substantial traded volume.
- Turnover is not directional evidence: The $1.9M total does not show how much recent trading supported the increase or explain why the price moved.
- Timing and contract terms matter: The board updates every 15 minutes. PredictionBubbles also cautions that related contracts across venues can differ in wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
Date & time:
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