Jasmine Paolini wins priced at 13.0% on Kalshi, down 14.0 points, on $725K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Paolini contract among its largest downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits…
Jasmine Paolini’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 13.0%, down 14.0 percentage points, with $725K traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 27, 2026, at 6:24 AM ET. PredictionBubbles’ movers board placed the contract among its largest downward sports moves, according to the accompanying summary.
A sharp move with limited context
The supplied material does not identify the competition covered by the Paolini contract, its settlement date or a catalyst for the decline. The price change therefore establishes a substantial repricing, but does not explain why traders lowered their assessment of her chances.
PredictionBubbles says its board measures changes over 24 hours using prices obtained directly from Kalshi and Polymarket. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 27 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC, with updates every 15 minutes.
How the ranking works
According to PredictionBubbles, the ranking covers 2,044 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour price comparison qualify, and the displayed table includes the top 150 of 506 markets that moved at least one probability point.
The board ranks contracts by the absolute size of their probability-point change, rather than their relative percentage change. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not affect placement. For Paolini, the $725K traded figure accompanies the decline; the supplied material does not establish the contract’s order-book depth.
What it means for prediction markets
- The decline is in percentage points: the reported 14.0-point move is not a 14.0% relative fall.
- Volume and liquidity are distinct: $725K traded provides activity context, but does not establish how easily orders could move the price.
- Contract details remain essential: without the competition, settlement terms or a documented catalyst, the supplied figures support an account of repricing—not an explanation of its cause or a prediction of the result.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026 priced at 30.0% on Kalshi, up 2.0 points, on $926K traded
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms priced at 87.5% on Polymarket, up 6.0 points, on $1.3M traded
- An AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027 priced at 60.5% on Polymarket, down 3.5 points, on $115K traded
- Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31 priced at 8.5% on Polymarket, down 5.0 points, on $127K traded
- Antonia Ruzic wins priced at 35.0% on Kalshi, down 13.0 points, on $1.0M traded
- Claire Liu wins priced at 66.0% on Kalshi, up 12.0 points, on $995K traded